Archive for February, 2009

United States Treasuries: The biggest Ponzi Scheme of all Time?

Business writer Grand News New Haven Ct

Business writer Grand News New Haven Ct

A Ponzi scheme – like the $50 billion one recently perpetrated by Bernard Madoff is one that can only exist as long as new money comes in to make minimum payments to investors who are told that the checks they receive are their share of the profits. There are no profits, however, and the money investors get is simply skimmed off the capital invested by others participating in the scheme. As soon as not enough new money comes into the fund to meet the demands of those investors making withdrawals of make-believe profits, the scheme implodes and collapses – burning everyone involved.
Today our nation’s scheme to keep up with mounting debt, which I am too patriotic to imagine as intentional and malicious like Madoff’s con game, resembles a Ponzi, and that is cause for grave concern and a call for radical change. We are not generating nearly enough revenue to offset the gigantic mountain of debt pressing down on top of our financial house of cards. The U.S. increasingly puts itself into a position where we must rely on the sales of new Treasury notes and bonds to keep up with the interest on previously issued instruments. This sounds Ponzi-esque to me.

As the financially devastating month of September 2008 came to an end, for example, the United States government was carrying $10 trillion dollars of debt owed to lenders outside the USA – one trillion dollars more than the previous year. That equals a debt increase of $2,900 for every man, woman, and child in the nation over the year before.

According to Gillespie Research/Federal Reserve, foreigners own about $9 trillion of U.S. financial assets, including 13 percent of all stocks, and nearly 30 percent of our corporate bonds. And they are acquiring more all the time, which gives them increased power and say-so regarding our native businesses. Even Fannie Mae, an agency created by Congress in order to ensure the availability of affordable mortgages for average Americans, turns to sources outside the USA for approximately 35 cents of every dollar.
Consider this statement from David Walker, the U.S. Comptroller General:

“Foreign interests have more control over the US economy than Americans, leaving the country in a state that is financially imprudent. More and more of our debt is held by foreign countries – some of which are our allies and some are not. The huge holdings of American government debt by countries such as China and Saudi Arabia could leave a powerful financial weapon in the hands of countries that may be hostile to US corporate and diplomatic interests”.
Of the $10 trillion in total federal government debt outstanding at the end of 2008, approximately $5.1 trillion was in the form of Treasury bonds and T-bills. Of that, nearly half was owed to foreign interests, including $700 billion owed to China. That number is about the same amount as our new economic stimulus package that is meant to save us from economic ruin.

Lucky for us, China continues to invest in the USA. In fact, China’s heavy purchase of our Treasury bonds is why we enjoy low interest rates to fund a war, provide public services, offer a stimulus plan, and line the silk pockets of irresponsible Wall Street firms and big banks.
But the Chinese are not investing here on the basis of our attractive economic future. They invest here because they desperately need for us to succeed. Otherwise it means a huge loss of debt payment income we owe to them.

Our country spent more than $300 billion last year, just to service interest payments on outstanding debt. Meanwhile we owe ourselves $3.3 trillion of debt accumulated through the internal habit of borrowing from Peter to pay Paul with IOU’s skimmed from sources including the Social Security trust fund. So far the government has drained $13 trillion from that fund alone, so we are not just borrowing from our parents and ourselves but also from our children and grandchildren.
Spread equally across the 304 million citizens of the USA, our total debt adds up to a staggering $49,342,00 owed by each and every person, including those still cruising around in strollers and diapers.
We have become so accustomed to hearing about the trillions of dollars we are in debt. Watching the numbers rise meteorically has desensitized us to what it all really means.

Let’s add it all up as follows: $10 trillion is existing debt. $1 trillion is the budget short fall in 2009, and $350 billion in TARP funds have already been disbursed to banks – with another $350 billion in TARP funds to be released next. $1 trillion was earmarked to banks for troubled assets, $790 billion for new stimulus spending, and $3.3 trillion was borrowed from ourselves from programs like Social Security. The grand total is $15 trillion, divided amongst 304 million Americans. That adds up to a whopping $49,342 per person, which is a 50% increase in our debt from what was it was at the end of 2008.

In order to truly appreciate what the nation now owes on an indivual level, imagine the U.S. government paying off its debt by sending all 304 million men ,women and children a bill for $49,342 That figure represents their share of the overall debt. But as a practical matter, people in the government know they cannot expect the majority of taxpayers to pay this debt in one lump sum. So let’s say they offer you terms similar to a revolving credit card account and they spread the $49,342 over 15years at 3.5% interest. Your monthly payment for each household member will still come to $352.74 per month. Understanding that can help us comprehend the magnitude of the problem and what it will take to solve our debt crisis.

It is as simple as it looks complicated we so not have the revenues we take in from taxes anywhere near sufficient to run the government on a day to day basis, let alone fund special projects and pay off our obligations. Our current system of financial management is dangerous. It requires serious restructuring, which must include a plan for reducing both internal and external debt and finding sustainable solutions to our hazardous and lopsided dependence upon foreign interests and powers.
End
Andy Ross
612 Chapel Street
New Haven CT 06511 andy@andyrossgroup.com 203-641-4666
Real Estate and Commercial Loan Broker

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We need term limits in New Haven

Andy Ross of New Haven Ct

Andy Ross of New Haven Ct

We need term limits in New Haven

By Andy Ross

When we hear the words “term limits,” our first thought might be that the words have something to do with insurance. Term limits, however, refers to limiting the number of years (or terms) that a person can serve in one elected office. I don’t think that the relationship is too far-fetched: In a way, term limits for politicians are a type of insurance—they insure against complacency, and they ensure that we will benefit from the type of elected officials that our Founding Fathers wanted us to have.

Rather than develop a separate professional political class, who may eventually become removed from the wishes and needs of the general population, I suggest strongly that we begin at the local level to consider setting term limits for elected offices in the city of New Haven. We can’t start too soon.

Politics has become a career for some; term limits would not only prevent career politicians, but would also promote citizen leaders. We need people with fresh ideas who can energize our government structure on many levels. A 1995 study by Doug Bandow for the Cato Institute suggested that term limits actually increase voter choice by making elections more competitive and encouraging more candidates to run for office. As well, cities that have implemented term limits have discovered that more candidates—and more diverse candidates—are running for office.

People can argue that the longer a politician is in office, the better he or she knows his constituency and the more effective he or she can be, but I disagree. Politicians who have served for many years can become dangerous. They can build up too many cronies and allies, and they can be tempted too easily to show favoritism, or worse, to look the other way about corruption.

By limiting terms in office, elected officials will have time to do their jobs well without having to think about running another campaign. Having a limited amount of time in which to achieve their goals will force them to make those goals a reality, as they can concentrate fully on the matters at hand. An elected official’s primary concern should not be his or her pension, or his or her record for serving in an office for the longest period of time.

I believe strongly that New Haven’s Board of Aldermen should consider setting term limits for elected city officials. I think that three terms of three years (for a total of nine years) for Mayor and two terms of three years (for a total of six years) for Aldermen would be the first step in getting New Haven going in the right direction.

Andy Ross
612 Chapel Street
New Haven, Ct 06511
203-641-4666
andy@andyrossgroup.com

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Saving Joe the Plumber – and America – from “Joe the Debtor”

Andy RossSaving Joe the Plumber – and America – from “Joe the Debtor”

By Andy Ross

While Joe the Plumber emerged during the election campaign as an icon representing both mainstream American values and the travails of the average Joe, the post election focus is beginning to shift to Joe the Debtor. The average Joe, despite a good job, home ownership, and a decent credit rating, is living so far beyond his financial means that he is drowning in debt. The unprecedented borrowing binge has been facilitated by credit cards, car loans, home equity lines of credit, and a host of other debt products extended primarily based on his all-important credit score and frequently without further scrutiny.

What we are faced with is a virtual house of cards made up of credit extended to those who cannot truly afford it. Now that our debts are being called in the house has come crashing down around us.

While robbing from Peter to pay Paul, the fact of the matter is that Joe is basically just borrowing from himself and at a high cost. A prime example of this in recent years was the practice of buying a home with little or no money down and using the instant equity that built up due to a run-a-way real estate market to finance a lifestyle. A mortgage with little or no down payment is where Joe began his foray into the American Dream. Once true equity was built up, he then siphoned it off through home equity loans and cash-out refinancing. The additive effect of a decrease in current home values has pushed down any remaining available cash that has not already been siphoned off. Now many are being pushed into foreclosure leaving no where else to borrow to pay bill and the mortgage it’s self. Estimates are that twenty percent of Americans now owe more than their homes are worth.

Debt, when managed properly, can be a good thing but Joe the Debtor caught in the spiral and culture of habitual debt, is currently caught in cycle of debt mismanagement that includes gaming the system in order to maintain the perfect credit that enables him to perpetuate the manipulation and obfuscate the depths of his truly precarious position . Joe the Debtor has a false sense of his actual net worth mainly because he is flush with “make believe” cash. When he uses credit, he is actually using debt, but most Americans don’t make that important connection. They just see their ability to borrow as buying power, mistaking debt for wealth. They treat their credit advances as income and view them as perks bestowed by lenders to reward them for maintaining a good credit score. Just because consumers are not financially qualified to borrow and repay their obligations does not mean they are not educated about the credit process. In fact it is the opposite; they are savvy when it comes to enhancing their credit scores. Most active borrowers continuously monitor and tweak their credit profile in order to deliberately and successfully beat lenders at their own game. They continue to meet minimum monthly obligations, even if that means borrowing themselves deeper into a hole in order to keep their precious credit score intact.

Information on how to bolster a score is readily and freely published by the three major credit reporting bureaus, and there are numerous credit repair web sites that help Joe navigate his way to more credit. Joe can tweak his profile to earn a stellar credit number while sitting atop a mountain of debt with no verifiable income or savings.

Because lenders rely too heavily on FICO scores they systematically cut corners in terms of underwriting. This has now cutting into their profits and has caused many of them to suffer insurmountable financial losses.

For a small business owner to obtain the dollars consumers do is, by contrast, difficult, if not impossible. Lenders hold commercial borrowers to a much higher standard, yet individual consumers can amass extraordinary debt just by filling out half-page applications. In fact many small businesses have figured out how to use credit card debt as alternative financing. In fact, Joe the Debtor can extend his consumer borrowing even further and use it in place of harder to get commercial loans.

The solution is for lenders to take charge in a proactive way, by using confidential criteria that cannot be artificially manipulated by borrowers. Lenders should use due diligent research to positively verify income and assets and reign in reckless debt. Until they take those steps the overall economy of good debt and responsible consumers will be plagued by higher interest rates, shrinking supplies of loan capital, and an environment where Joe the Debtor destroys the housing market, the job market, the stock market, and his chances for financial prosperity.

By Andy Ross
New Haven CT
Real Estate and Credit Counselor
New Haven CT
Andy@andyrossgroup.com
203-641-4666

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United States Treasuries: The biggest Ponzi Scheme of all Time?

Economic and Business Writer

Economic and Business Writer

By Andy Ross
Grand News
New Haven CT

A Ponzi scheme – like the $50 billion one recently perpetrated by Bernard Madoff – is one that can only exist as long as new money comes in to make minimum payments to investors who are told that the checks they receive are their share of the profits. There are no profits, however, and the money investors get is simply skimmed off the capital invested by others participating in the scheme. As soon as not enough new money comes into the fund to meet the demands of those investors making withdrawals of make-believe profits, the scheme implodes and collapses – burning everyone involved.

Today our nation’s scheme to keep up with mounting debt, which I am too patriotic to imagine as intentional and malicious like Madoff’s con game, resembles a Ponzi, and that is cause for grave concern and a call for radical change. We are not generating nearly enough revenue to offset the gigantic mountain of debt pressing down on top of our financial house of cards.

As the financially devastating month of September 2008 came to an end, for example, the United States government was carrying $10 trillion dollars of debt owed to lenders outside the USA – one trillion dollars more than the previous year. That equals a debt increase of $2,900 for every man, woman, and child in the nation over the year before.

According to Gillespie Research/Federal Reserve, foreigners own about $9 trillion of U.S. financial assets, including 13 percent of all stocks, and nearly 30 percent of our corporate bonds. And they are acquiring more all the time, which gives them increased power and say-so regarding our native businesses. Even Fannie Mae, an agency created by Congress in order to ensure the availability of affordable mortgages for average Americans, turns to sources outside the USA for approximately 35 cents of every dollar.

Consider this statement from David Walker, the U.S. Comptroller General:
“Foreign interests have more control over the US economy than Americans, leaving the country in a state that is financially imprudent. More and more of our debt is held by foreign countries – some of which are our allies and some are not. The huge holdings of American government debt by countries such as China and Saudi Arabia could leave a powerful financial weapon in the hands of countries that may be hostile to US corporate and diplomatic interests”.
Of the $10 trillion in total federal government debt outstanding at the end of 2008, approximately $5.1 trillion was in the form of Treasury bonds and T-bills. Of that, nearly half was owed to foreign interests, including $700 billion owed to China. That number is about the same amount as our new economic stimulus package that is meant to save us from economic ruin.

Lucky for us, China continues to invest in the USA. In fact, China’s heavy purchase of our Treasury bonds is why we enjoy low interest rates to fund a war, provide public services, offer a stimulus plan, and line the silk pockets of irresponsible Wall Street firms and big banks.
But the Chinese are not investing here on the basis of our attractive economic future. They invest here because they desperately need for us to succeed. Otherwise it means a huge loss of debt payment income we owe to them.

Our country spent more than $300 billion last year, just to service interest payments on outstanding debt. Meanwhile we owe ourselves $3.3 trillion of debt accumulated through the internal habit of borrowing from Peter to pay Paul with IOU’s skimmed from sources including the Social Security trust fund. So far the government has drained $13 trillion from that fund alone, so we are not just borrowing from our parents and ourselves but also from our children and grandchildren.

Spread equally across the 304 million citizens of the USA, our total debt adds up to a staggering $42,763,00 owed by each and every person, including those still cruising around in strollers and diapers. Keep reading it only gets worse.

We have become so accustomed to hearing about the trillions of dollars we are in debt and watching that number meteorically rise that we have become insulated or desensitized to what it really means.

In order to truly appreciate what it means for the U.S. to owe this kind of debt on an indivual level just imagine the U.S. government deciding it must pay off it’s debt and will do it by sending all 304 million men ,women and child a bill for $43,000.00 representing their part of the total U.S. debt. Now as a practical matter the government knows that they cannot expect the majority of the people to pay this debt in one lump sum so let’s say they offer you terms similar to a credit card revolving account and spread $43,000.00 over 50 years at 3.5% interest. Your monthly payment for each household member will come to $150.00. Do you think this illustration helps drive home the point about how much it would take from each of us to solve our debt crisis?

Let’s add it all up as follows: 10 trillion is existing debt, 1 trillion short fall in 2009, 350, billion Tarp funds already disbursed to banks, 350,000 billion dollars for the second half of TARP funds, 1 trillion dollars earmarked to banks troubled assets, 790 billion in new stimulus spending and 3.3 trillion we borrowed from ourselves from programs like social security funds. The grand total is 15 trillion dollars divided by 304 million Americans equals $49,342.105 per person. That is a 50% increase in our debt from the stated 2008 year end.

The U.S. increasingly puts itself into a position where we must rely on the sales of new Treasury notes and bonds to keep up with the interest on previously issued instruments. This sounds Ponzi-esque to me.

It is as simple as it looks complicated we so not have the revenues we take in from taxes anywhere near sufficient to run the government on a day to day basis, let alone fund special projects and pay off our obligations. Our current system of financial management is dangerous. It requires serious restructuring, which must include a plan for reducing both internal and external debt and finding sustainable solutions to our hazardous and lopsided dependence upon foreign interests and powers.
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